1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
1. FC Kaiserslautern
59%21%19%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.22 – 1.22
Both teams score
Yes63.5%
No36.6%
Total goals
Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw80.7%
Draw or away40.6%
Probability margin
Probability margin38.2%
Non-leading outcomes40.6%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 353 · Heidenheim 3 · Kaiserslautern 20
- Data quality
- Early model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 59.4%, 38.2% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.22 goals for Heidenheim and 1.22 for Kaiserslautern.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Heidenheim are 3-1-1 with a +1 goal difference; Kaiserslautern are 3-1-1 with a +2 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | |
| Kaiserslautern | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation