1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Kaiserslautern
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Eintracht Braunschweig
55%24%20%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.85 – 1.04
Both teams score
Yes55.3%
No44.7%
Total goals
Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw79.8%
Draw or away44.5%
Probability margin
Probability margin31.2%
Non-leading outcomes44.5%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 333 · Kaiserslautern 18 · Braunschweig 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 55.5%, 31.2% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.85 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.04 for Braunschweig.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Kaiserslautern are 2-2-1 with a +1 goal difference; Braunschweig are 1-1-3 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | |
| Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation