1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Darmstadt 98
52%24%23%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.89 – 1.21
Both teams score
Yes60.4%
No39.6%
Total goals
Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw76.5%
Draw or away47.5%
Probability margin
Probability margin28.4%
Non-leading outcomes47.5%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 321 · Kaiserslautern 18 · Darmstadt 17
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 52.5%, 28.4% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.89 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.21 for Darmstadt.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Kaiserslautern are 3-2-0 with a +4 goal difference; Darmstadt are 0-2-3 with a -4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |
| Darmstadt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation