1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Magdeburg
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
1. FC Kaiserslautern
36%28%37%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.38
Both teams score
Yes56.3%
No43.7%
Total goals
Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw63.2%
Draw or away64.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin1.3%
Non-leading outcomes63.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 324 · Magdeburg 18 · Kaiserslautern 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 36.8%, 1.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.35 goals for Magdeburg and 1.38 for Kaiserslautern.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Magdeburg are 2-0-3 with a -2 goal difference; Kaiserslautern are 3-2-0 with a +5 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | |
| Kaiserslautern | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation