1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
1. FC Magdeburg
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Hannover 96
22%23%56%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.24 – 2.07
Both teams score
Yes62.8%
No37.2%
Total goals
Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw44.2%
Draw or away78.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin33.3%
Non-leading outcomes44.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 357 · Magdeburg 20 · Hannover 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 55.8%, 33.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.24 goals for Magdeburg and 2.07 for Hannover.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Magdeburg are 3-1-1 with a +7 goal difference; Hannover are 2-1-2 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | |
| Hannover | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation