Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock
Alemannia Aachen
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Hansa Rostock
26%25%49%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.29 – 1.82
Both teams score
Yes61.5%
No38.5%
Total goals
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw51%
Draw or away73.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin22.7%
Non-leading outcomes51%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 450 · Aachen 23 · Rostock 23
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 49%, 22.7% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.29 goals for Aachen and 1.82 for Rostock.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Aachen are 2-1-2 with a 0 goal difference; Rostock are 2-2-1 with a -1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aachen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| Rostock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation