Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Dynamo Dresden
34%27%39%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.38 – 1.48
Both teams score
Yes58.7%
No41.3%
Total goals
Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw61.2%
Draw or away65.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin4.5%
Non-leading outcomes61.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 324 · Braunschweig 18 · Dresden 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 38.8%, 4.5% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.38 goals for Braunschweig and 1.48 for Dresden.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Braunschweig are 1-0-4 with a -1 goal difference; Dresden are 2-0-3 with a -4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | |
| Dresden | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation