Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Hertha BSC
22%24%54%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.16 – 1.89
Both teams score
Yes59.2%
No40.8%
Total goals
Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw46.5%
Draw or away77.6%
Probability margin
Probability margin29.5%
Non-leading outcomes46.5%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 315 · Braunschweig 17 · Hertha 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 53.5%, 29.5% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.16 goals for Braunschweig and 1.89 for Hertha.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Braunschweig are 2-0-3 with a +2 goal difference; Hertha are 3-0-2 with a -1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | |
| Hertha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation