Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum

Eintracht Braunschweig

16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff

VfL Bochum

Likely score11
Expected goals1.221.31
Both teams score
Yes52.4%
No47.6%
Total goals
Over 2.546.3%
Under 2.553.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw62.2%
Draw or away66.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin4.5%
Non-leading outcomes62.2%
Published
Training cutoff
Training matches
315 · Braunschweig 17 · Bochum 17
Data quality
Full model sample · Low separation

Why the away win is largest

Outcome separation

The leading outcome is Away win at 37.8%, 4.5% ahead of the next outcome.

Expected-goal balance

The model projects 1.22 goals for Braunschweig and 1.31 for Bochum.

Recent evidence

Across the displayed sample, Braunschweig are 3-0-2 with a +5 goal difference; Bochum are 2-2-1 with a +1 goal difference.

Top five scorelines

1113.8%
019.5%
009%
108.7%
128.4%

Recent form

TeamLast fiveMPWDLGFGA
Braunschweig5302105
Bochum522165

Published model snapshot

This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.

Training cutoff
Training matches
315 · Braunschweig 17 · Bochum 17
Data quality
Full model sample
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation