Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
15:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
FC Augsburg
49%24%27%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.84 – 1.33
Both teams score
Yes62.7%
No37.3%
Total goals
Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw73.2%
Draw or away51.2%
Probability margin
Probability margin22%
Non-leading outcomes51.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 306 · Frankfurt 17 · Augsburg 17
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 48.8%, 22% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.84 goals for Frankfurt and 1.33 for Augsburg.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Frankfurt are 0-3-2 with a -2 goal difference; Augsburg are 3-1-1 with a +3 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| Augsburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation