Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Karlsruher SC
54%24%23%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.92 – 1.19
Both teams score
Yes60.2%
No39.8%
Total goals
Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw77.4%
Draw or away46.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin29.8%
Non-leading outcomes46.4%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 317 · Hannover 17 · Karlsruhe 17
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 53.6%, 29.8% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.92 goals for Hannover and 1.19 for Karlsruhe.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Hannover are 0-3-2 with a -3 goal difference; Karlsruhe are 2-2-1 with a +1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
| Karlsruhe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation