Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum
Hannover 96
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
VfL Bochum
41%29%30%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.39 – 1.16
Both teams score
Yes52.4%
No47.6%
Total goals
Over 2.546.7%
Under 2.553.3%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw69.7%
Draw or away58.8%
Probability margin
Probability margin10.9%
Non-leading outcomes58.8%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 333 · Hannover 18 · Bochum 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 41.2%, 10.9% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.39 goals for Hannover and 1.16 for Bochum.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Hannover are 1-1-3 with a -3 goal difference; Bochum are 2-1-2 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Bochum | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation