Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg
Hannover 96
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
VfL Wolfsburg
43%26%31%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.60 – 1.34
Both teams score
Yes59.9%
No40.1%
Total goals
Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw68.7%
Draw or away57.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin11.3%
Non-leading outcomes57.4%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 315 · Hannover 17 · Wolfsburg 0
- Data quality
- Early model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 42.6%, 11.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.60 goals for Hannover and 1.34 for Wolfsburg.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Hannover are 1-3-1 with a 0 goal difference; Wolfsburg are 0-1-0 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |
| Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation