Hansa Rostock vs SV Waldhof Mannheim
Hansa Rostock
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Waldhof Mannheim
57%20%23%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.48 – 1.55
Both teams score
Yes72.8%
No27.2%
Total goals
Over 2.576.7%
Under 2.523.3%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw77.3%
Draw or away42.6%
Probability margin
Probability margin34.7%
Non-leading outcomes42.6%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · Rostock 19 · Mannheim 19
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 57.4%, 34.7% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.48 goals for Rostock and 1.55 for Mannheim.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Rostock are 3-1-1 with a +1 goal difference; Mannheim are 2-1-2 with a -4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostock | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | |
| Mannheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation