Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden
Hansa Rostock
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
56%25%20%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.82 – 1.00
Both teams score
Yes53.9%
No46.1%
Total goals
Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw80.4%
Draw or away44.2%
Probability margin
Probability margin31.3%
Non-leading outcomes44.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 397 · Rostock 19 · Wiesbaden 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 55.8%, 31.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.82 goals for Rostock and 1.00 for Wiesbaden.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Rostock are 4-1-0 with a +6 goal difference; Wiesbaden are 1-1-3 with a -5 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | |
| Wiesbaden | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation