Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart II
Hansa Rostock
17:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
VfB Stuttgart II
58%20%23%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.48 – 1.54
Both teams score
Yes72.5%
No27.5%
Total goals
Over 2.576.5%
Under 2.523.5%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw77.5%
Draw or away42.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin35.1%
Non-leading outcomes42.4%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 400 · Rostock 20 · Stuttgart II 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 57.6%, 35.1% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.48 goals for Rostock and 1.54 for Stuttgart II.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Rostock are 2-2-1 with a -1 goal difference; Stuttgart II are 2-0-3 with a -2 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | |
| Stuttgart II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation