Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden
Jahn Regensburg
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
42%31%27%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.24 – 0.93
Both teams score
Yes44.1%
No55.9%
Total goals
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw73.3%
Draw or away57.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin11.3%
Non-leading outcomes57.7%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 450 · Regensburg 22 · Wiesbaden 22
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 42.3%, 11.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.24 goals for Regensburg and 0.93 for Wiesbaden.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Regensburg are 0-2-3 with a -6 goal difference; Wiesbaden are 1-2-2 with a -2 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regensburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | |
| Wiesbaden | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation