Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98
Karlsruher SC
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Darmstadt 98
43%23%34%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.95 – 1.71
Both teams score
Yes71.1%
No29%
Total goals
Over 2.570.9%
Under 2.529.1%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw66.3%
Draw or away56.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin9.6%
Non-leading outcomes56.7%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 360 · Karlsruhe 21 · Darmstadt 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 43.3%, 9.6% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.95 goals for Karlsruhe and 1.71 for Darmstadt.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Karlsruhe are 0-2-3 with a -7 goal difference; Darmstadt are 1-0-4 with a -8 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Darmstadt | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation