RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Eintracht Frankfurt
64%18%18%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.76 – 1.47
Both teams score
Yes72.6%
No27.4%
Total goals
Over 2.579.3%
Under 2.520.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw81.9%
Draw or away35.9%
Probability margin
Probability margin46%
Non-leading outcomes35.9%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 339 · Leipzig 19 · Frankfurt 19
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 64.1%, 46% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.76 goals for Leipzig and 1.47 for Frankfurt.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Leipzig are 2-0-3 with a +1 goal difference; Frankfurt are 1-3-1 with a -1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | |
| Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation