SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Eintracht Braunschweig
36%26%38%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.49 – 1.55
Both teams score
Yes61.9%
No38.1%
Total goals
Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw61.7%
Draw or away64.2%
Probability margin
Probability margin2.5%
Non-leading outcomes61.7%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 360 · Fürth 20 · Braunschweig 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 38.3%, 2.5% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.49 goals for Fürth and 1.55 for Braunschweig.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Fürth are 1-2-2 with a -2 goal difference; Braunschweig are 0-1-4 with a -6 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fürth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Braunschweig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation