SV Darmstadt 98 vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
16:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
60%23%17%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.97 – 0.98
Both teams score
Yes54.5%
No45.5%
Total goals
Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw82.6%
Draw or away40.5%
Probability margin
Probability margin36.5%
Non-leading outcomes40.5%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 324 · Darmstadt 18 · Bielefeld 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 59.5%, 36.5% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.97 goals for Darmstadt and 0.98 for Bielefeld.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Darmstadt are 0-1-4 with a -7 goal difference; Bielefeld are 2-1-2 with a +4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Bielefeld | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation