SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96
SV Darmstadt 98
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Hannover 96
39%26%36%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.57 – 1.49
Both teams score
Yes62.3%
No37.7%
Total goals
Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw64.5%
Draw or away61.3%
Probability margin
Probability margin3.3%
Non-leading outcomes61.3%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 315 · Darmstadt 18 · Hannover 18
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 38.8%, 3.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.57 goals for Darmstadt and 1.49 for Hannover.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Darmstadt are 0-3-2 with a -3 goal difference; Hannover are 1-3-1 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | |
| Hannover | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation