SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SV Meppen
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
44%25%31%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.77 – 1.46
Both teams score
Yes64.6%
No35.4%
Total goals
Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.3%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw68.8%
Draw or away55.8%
Probability margin
Probability margin13%
Non-leading outcomes55.8%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · Meppen 0 · Sonnenhof Großaspach 0
- Data quality
- Early model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 44.2%, 13% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.77 goals for Meppen and 1.46 for Sonnenhof Großaspach.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Meppen are 0-0-1 with a -3 goal difference; Sonnenhof Großaspach are 1-0-0 with a +1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meppen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Sonnenhof Großaspach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation