SV Waldhof Mannheim vs SC Verl
SV Waldhof Mannheim
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
SC Verl
38%24%38%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.70 – 1.69
Both teams score
Yes67.5%
No32.6%
Total goals
Over 2.565.9%
Under 2.534.1%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw62.3%
Draw or away62%
Probability margin
Probability margin0.3%
Non-leading outcomes62%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 397 · Mannheim 20 · Verl 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 38%, 0.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.70 goals for Mannheim and 1.69 for Verl.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Mannheim are 2-1-2 with a -3 goal difference; Verl are 1-0-4 with a -4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mannheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | |
| Verl | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation