SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
17:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Alemannia Aachen
27%24%49%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.42 – 1.95
Both teams score
Yes65.8%
No34.2%
Total goals
Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw50.8%
Draw or away72.7%
Probability margin
Probability margin21.8%
Non-leading outcomes50.8%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 449 · Wiesbaden 23 · Aachen 22
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 49.2%, 21.8% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.42 goals for Wiesbaden and 1.95 for Aachen.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Wiesbaden are 1-2-2 with a -2 goal difference; Aachen are 2-1-2 with a 0 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiesbaden | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Aachen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation