SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Rot-Weiss Essen
52%20%29%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.55 – 1.92
Both teams score
Yes79.1%
No20.9%
Total goals
Over 2.582.3%
Under 2.517.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw71.3%
Draw or away48.4%
Probability margin
Probability margin22.9%
Non-leading outcomes48.4%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · Wiesbaden 20 · Rot-Weiss Essen 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 51.6%, 22.9% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.55 goals for Wiesbaden and 1.92 for Rot-Weiss Essen.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Wiesbaden are 1-0-4 with a -6 goal difference; Rot-Weiss Essen are 3-0-2 with a -5 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiesbaden | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation