SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs SV Waldhof Mannheim
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
14:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Waldhof Mannheim
58%20%22%
Likely score2–1
Expected goals2.38 – 1.44
Both teams score
Yes69.9%
No30.1%
Total goals
Over 2.573.5%
Under 2.526.5%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw78.2%
Draw or away42.2%
Probability margin
Probability margin36%
Non-leading outcomes42.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 400 · Wiesbaden 20 · Mannheim 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 57.8%, 36% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.38 goals for Wiesbaden and 1.44 for Mannheim.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Wiesbaden are 1-2-2 with a -4 goal difference; Mannheim are 1-1-3 with a -5 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiesbaden | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Mannheim | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation