TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
14:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Jahn Regensburg
34%24%42%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.77
Both teams score
Yes66.7%
No33.3%
Total goals
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw58.3%
Draw or away66%
Probability margin
Probability margin7.7%
Non-leading outcomes58.3%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 20 · Regensburg 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 41.7%, 7.7% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.58 goals for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II and 1.77 for Regensburg.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II are 2-0-3 with a -1 goal difference; Regensburg are 2-0-3 with a +1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | |
| Regensburg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation