TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Verl
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
11:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SC Verl
36%24%40%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.65 – 1.76
Both teams score
Yes67.7%
No32.3%
Total goals
Over 2.566.3%
Under 2.533.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw59.6%
Draw or away64.5%
Probability margin
Probability margin4.9%
Non-leading outcomes59.6%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 450 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 23 · Verl 22
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 40.4%, 4.9% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.65 goals for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II and 1.76 for Verl.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II are 3-1-1 with a +5 goal difference; Verl are 3-1-1 with a +2 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | |
| Verl | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation