TSV Havelse vs SV Waldhof Mannheim
TSV Havelse
14:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
SV Waldhof Mannheim
41%22%36%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals2.00 – 1.87
Both teams score
Yes73.8%
No26.2%
Total goals
Over 2.574.3%
Under 2.525.7%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw63.7%
Draw or away58.6%
Probability margin
Probability margin5.1%
Non-leading outcomes58.6%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · TSV Havelse 20 · Mannheim 19
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 41.4%, 5.1% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 2.00 goals for TSV Havelse and 1.87 for Mannheim.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, TSV Havelse are 1-0-4 with a -10 goal difference; Mannheim are 2-1-2 with a -4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Havelse | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | |
| Mannheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation