VfB Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg
VfB Stuttgart II
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Jahn Regensburg
43%24%33%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.79 – 1.54
Both teams score
Yes66.2%
No33.8%
Total goals
Over 2.564.6%
Under 2.535.4%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw67.3%
Draw or away57%
Probability margin
Probability margin10.3%
Non-leading outcomes57%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 410 · Stuttgart II 20 · Regensburg 21
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 43%, 10.3% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.79 goals for Stuttgart II and 1.54 for Regensburg.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Stuttgart II are 1-0-4 with a -4 goal difference; Regensburg are 0-1-4 with a -7 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Regensburg | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation