VfB Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln
VfB Stuttgart II
17:30 UTC · Venue not suppliedScheduled · Prediction locks at kickoff
Viktoria Köln
38%27%35%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.46 – 1.40
Both teams score
Yes58.8%
No41.2%
Total goals
Over 2.554.5%
Under 2.545.5%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw65%
Draw or away61.9%
Probability margin
Probability margin3.1%
Non-leading outcomes61.9%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 390 · Stuttgart II 19 · Viktoria Köln 19
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Low separation
Why the home win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Home win at 38.1%, 3.1% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.46 goals for Stuttgart II and 1.40 for Viktoria Köln.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Stuttgart II are 2-0-3 with a +2 goal difference; Viktoria Köln are 1-1-3 with a -6 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | |
| Viktoria Köln | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Low separation