Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Viktoria Köln
12:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
FC Ingolstadt 04
24%25%51%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.80
Both teams score
Yes59.1%
No40.9%
Total goals
Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.4%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw49.2%
Draw or away75.6%
Probability margin
Probability margin26%
Non-leading outcomes49.2%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 410 · Viktoria Köln 21 · Ingolstadt 21
- Data quality
- Full model sample · Moderate separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 50.8%, 26% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 1.20 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.80 for Ingolstadt.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Viktoria Köln are 4-0-1 with a +10 goal difference; Ingolstadt are 2-1-2 with a -1 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Köln | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | |
| Ingolstadt | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · Moderate separation