Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock
Viktoria Köln
17:00 UTC · Venue not suppliedFinished · Prediction locks at kickoff
Hansa Rostock
17%24%59%
Likely score1–1
Expected goals0.90 – 1.86
Both teams score
Yes51.1%
No48.9%
Total goals
Over 2.552.2%
Under 2.547.8%
Two-outcome combinations
Home or draw41%
Draw or away83%
Probability margin
Probability margin35.1%
Non-leading outcomes41%
- Published
- Training cutoff
- Training matches
- 400 · Viktoria Köln 20 · Rostock 20
- Data quality
- Full model sample · High separation
Why the away win is largest
Outcome separation
The leading outcome is Away win at 59%, 35.1% ahead of the next outcome.
Expected-goal balance
The model projects 0.90 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.86 for Rostock.
Recent evidence
Across the displayed sample, Viktoria Köln are 2-1-2 with a +1 goal difference; Rostock are 3-2-0 with a +4 goal difference.
Top five scorelines
Recent form
| Team | Last five | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | |
| Rostock | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 11 |
Published model snapshot
This version uses a transparent Poisson score model with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not advice or guarantees.
dc-poisson-1.1.0 · High separation